In a rapidly evolving geopolitical landscape, the need for a robust and agile European defense sector has never been more pressing. A recent study by management consultancy Roland Berger outlines a strategic framework aimed at enhancing Europe’s deterrence capabilities in light of increasing threats, particularly from Russia. The report advocates for a paradigm shift that involves close cooperation among political leaders, the defense industry, and the civil sector to achieve a sustainable and resilient defense posture by 2030.
The study, titled “The defence imperative: Driving innovation and resilience on Europe’s path to strategic autonomy,” defines a “deterrence level” as the industrial production capacity required to maintain and renew Europe’s military assets. This concept arises from a clear recognition that traditional military strategies must become adaptable, integrating modern technologies like drones and robotic systems alongside conventional arms. According to Felix Mogge, a Partner at Roland Berger, Europe must enhance its production capacity and invest in high-tech, cost-efficient systems to effectively respond to the multifaceted nature of contemporary warfare.
By 2030, the study projects that Russia will increase its arms production by 25%, necessitating that Europe produce at least 10% more to ensure credible deterrence. To illustrate this need, the authors propose ambitious production targets: 2.9 million artillery shells, 370 battle tanks, and 1,380 cruise missiles annually by European nations, outperforming Russia’s anticipated outputs in these categories. This drive for increased output necessitates a multifaceted approach involving several strategic pathways, designed to exploit existing capacities while establishing new manufacturing standards tailored for the dynamic demands of modern defence.
The report identifies critical areas for development, including expanded investment in industrial capacities and a push for collaboration across sectors. Notably, it suggests that integrating civil industries into defense production could alleviate supply bottlenecks and foster a more dynamic manufacturing environment. By building on the strengths of sectors like automotive and electronics, defense firms may find innovative solutions to the challenges posed by new threats.
This strategic vision aligns with broader European initiatives aimed at strengthening defense infrastructure and capability in the face of emergent global threats. An initiative known as “Readiness 2030,” proposed by European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen, seeks to mobilise up to €800 billion to enhance the EU’s defensive posture. This plan encompasses various fiscal strategies, including increased budget flexibility and mechanisms to attract private investment in defence.
The urgency of these initiatives has been amplified by Russia’s aggressive actions and the ongoing conflict in Ukraine, which have demonstrated the vulnerabilities of the European defense framework. Articles in various defence analyses underscore the imperative for Europe to develop a new industrial playbook to remain relevant and capable in the current global climate. It is not merely a matter of meeting current military needs but adapting to future ones, ensuring that European defence can effectively counter emerging threats.
Ultimately, the success of this ambitious framework will hinge on a pan-European approach that fosters collaboration among the primary stakeholders in defence: governmental bodies, the military, and private industry. Manfred Hader, another Partner at Roland Berger, emphasises the role of civil sectors as crucial partners in achieving agility and cost efficiency within the defence landscape. He states that effective integration and cooperation across these sectors will be key to not only meeting but exceeding the challenges posed by a new era of warfare.
The path laid out by Roland Berger represents a call to action for Europe’s leaders and industries to mobilise effectively and innovate. Only through a unified effort can Europe hope to secure its security and maintain strategic autonomy in an increasingly complex world.
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Source: Noah Wire Services
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